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防堵信心崩盘 PAP买了双重保险 尚达曼、黄国松二选一。

 防堵信心崩盘

PAP买了双重保险

尚达曼、黄国松二选一。


人民行动党的剧本,又添变数。尚达曼落选,PAP信心崩盘。为了减低损失,行动党推出安慰奖 - 黄国松。对于不投行动党指定候选人的选民,在一定程度上也愿意接受这个安慰奖。这个结果比2011年又进一步。


黄国松一出场,主流媒体已经认定他是尚达曼最强对手。甚至,皇阿玛已经认为这是一个双人竞赛,根本没有把其他候选人看在眼里。媒体和网军也在冷嘲热讽其他的候选人,不止不够格,也不知道如何当一个总统。连什么是监督都不懂,甚至,再一次输掉按柜金。


安排安慰奖给选民,其实,反映了人民行动党的政治危机。危机影响信心,信心影响说服力,一个没有说服了的PAP,如何让国人信任。(行动党总理、部长在国会的表演,有没有说服国人?)


人民行动党的压力太大了。他们不得不推出备胎,以防万一尚达曼落选。这种双重保险,确保支持者的信心,不会完全流失,这也成功阻止最不想要的候选人中选。而黄国松几十年的为国服务,工作信任,却是可以让政府放心。这也让支持者和反对者获得一个平衡。皆大欢喜???安慰奖???


同时,人民对于行动党政府的信任,在某一程度上也得到安慰,缓解。以较慢的速度,而不是直接掉落、直线下垂的方式, 把信心、信任全部输掉。行动党也可以借着这个机会,喘息,修整,再出发。


无论如何,支持者对于行动党的信心,已经大大的动摇,人们对于行动党的信任,也已经大不如前。即使尚达曼小赢,没有输,PAP的信心,依然会崩盘。

尤其是,像陈庆炎那样的赢法,再度肯定人民行动党受到支持的程度,只有三分之一。超过半数的选民将会抛弃行动党。


黄国松如果在一对一胜出,对于行动党来说,或许,是一种安慰、缓冲、折衷。如果黄国松在多角战中胜出,行动党将面临灾难。因为,选民已经学习到弃保,认定最有希望出现的人胜出,而放弃其他的候选人。


游戏才刚刚开始,其中还会出现变数。到目前为此,我们还不知道有几个合格候选人,几时提名,几时投



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