Thursday, 31 January 2013

Population White Paper was rejected in recent Punggol East by-election, should it go ahead?


An acid test was carried out in Punggol East by-election for the Population White Paper.  There is a clear result that voters there reject the Paper’s recommendations.  Should the PAP government implement the recommended policies or give it a second thought?  Will it be another misguided 20/20 foresight?   
The PAP government should think twice before implementing policies and measures in the Population White Paper.  This is because the Paper was rejected by voters in the recent Punggol East by-election directly or indirectly depending how you read it.

First, DPM Teo Chee Hean openly challenged and criticised Workers’ Party for its silence on key issues, namely foreign workers and population. WP chief Low Thia Khiang gave his reply in front of 8,000 rally participants on 23 January 2013 and Today newspaper had the following report:

<It is not true that the Workers’ Party (WP) has not taken a position on major issues; rather, it is the People’s Action Party Government that has turned a deaf ear to its views and suggestions, said party chief Low Thia Khiang as he hit out at Deputy Prime Minister Teo Chee Hean’s charge that the WP “has avoided taking a stand” on national concerns.
 In a Facebook post yesterday, Mr Teo, the PAP’s First Assistant Secretary-General, said the WP had stayed silent on important issues such as “population or foreign workers where tough trade-offs are needed”.
 At the WP’s final rally yesterday, Mr Low pointed out that he had spoken on the foreign manpower issue during the Manpower Ministry’s Committee of Supply debate last year. He had called for the tightening of the Dependency Ratio Ceilings for foreign workers to be industry-specific so as to minimise the fallout for small-and-medium enterprises in sectors that fewer Singaporeans want to work in.
 The WP had also devoted a chapter in its 2011 party manifesto to population and immigration, Mr Low said, reiterating his party’s stand that immigration policies should be aimed at improving the lot of Singaporeans.>http://www.todayonline.com/singapore/wp-spoke-pap-didnt-listen-low

And now majority of voters in Punggol East say NO to the PAP.  Punggol East may be just a single constituency but at least it is representing the desire of many Singaporeans who are not happy with the population and foreign workers policies. 

In fact, when you look at the points raised by the PAP candidates Dr Koh Poh Koon and the supporting and last minute policies announcements by the government, one can conclude that the PAP is bringing the Paper to voters in advance.  These policies include property cooling measures, new MRT lines, more marriage and family subsidies and leave for husband, elderly care etc.

Three pillars and three values

From his campaign, Dr Koh might have access to the Population White Paper before many of us. He talked about his three values: Hope, Family and Action in his first rally.  

In the white paper, you will find three pillars for a sustainable population: Hearts, Hopes and Home.  Comparing to Dr Koh’s “action, hope and family”, it looks similar.  Perhaps, this is the message the PAP wants to bring to voters before releasing the white paper. If Dr Koh won the by-election, the PAP can then claim some recognition and acknowledgement from the by-election. Unfortunately, it failed. Not to forget the person chairing the press conference for the release of white paper is no other than Teo Chee Hean.

If we look back at the debates and issues raised in the by-election, many of them are covered in the white paper:

Chapter 2 Sustaining a core Singaporean population

Marriage and parenthood policies: improved and enhanced packages for married couples and for husbands were announced.  We also saw better housing policies for married persons.   

Chapter 3 Creating Good Opportunities for Singaporeans

“Creating opportunities and good jobs for our people” was questioned in opposition rallies and campaign.

“Helping businesses restructure and move up the value-chain” was another topic criticised by the oppositions.   

“Helping low-wage workers and older workers” was also raised by the oppositions. The present framework is not working and needs change.

“Bringing Singaporeans home” is an effort of Contact Singapore but it is not getting desired result.

Chapter 5 A High Quality Living Environment

What is “best place to live”?  There is no more mention of Swiss standard of living.

During the by-election campaign, the PAP government announced several new and important transport, housing, and health care changes.    

Many of the key points and suggestions in the Population White Paper were brought forward to hopefully improve the winning chances of Dr Koh.  However, it did not materialise.   

Implementation of white paper against people’s wishes   

Now the white paper is out.  Punggol East voters had rejected it but the PAP still wants to implement it. (The PAP still controls 80 of 87 parliament seats).

Should the PAP review and improve the white paper or just goes ahead without considering the voters’ decision?  How many more times can the PAP ignore the wishes of Singaporeans?  

Perhaps, they want to wait until 2016 General Election to make some changes and say “I am sorry” again.  Will the sorry work in favour of the PAP in 2016?

Tuesday, 29 January 2013

从长途快车站 感觉行动党的败选


总理终于承认没有20/20的眼力,看得准一切。新加坡在他的管理下,自从他担任总理以来,基本设施赶不上人口和经济的增长。当然,民生问题也就产生了,并进一步恶化。

除了看不准外,行动党的一些民生政策,一直来就偏离人民的需要,不但没有和人民站在一起,反而是越站越远离人民,我们从长途快车站这个小民生说起。

或许,我们生活中的一些小细节,就能感觉到行动党如何在榜鹅东会败选。而这些小细节,就反映了民生。人民面对的问题,行动党并没有好好的处理,不但如此,还一直的拖延,并且,还一直以金钱利益为前提,不加改善。 
总理说行动党是永远站在人民那一边。当你看到人们不方便的上下快车,在马路边危险的搭快车时,心理是什么感受?不只是搭客,就在一旁看的人,都会认为行动党是站错边,站在人民的对立面。
新马关系的密切,人民之间的往来,当然少不了长途快车服务。即使已经有廉价航空来往飞行,不少人还是选择快车,新加坡独立前已是如此,独立后仍然没有改变,即使新加坡成为世界第一富国,仍然没有改变。

有需要,有需求,在经济模式下,应该要有供应才对。但是,很奇怪,行动党政府有意无意的不明白这点。

想想看,我们几十年来的发展,从街边小贩到小贩中心,再到冷气食阁,都是政府规划完成的。

但是,为何没有长途快车站?1959年自治以来,行动党掌权以来,难道从来就没有想到建立一个快车站吗?什么样的人最需要快车服务呢?我们从没有高速公路,没有地铁轻轨,到什么都有,一直到有冷气的 巴士总站。为何独独没有快车站?

  • ·      因为搭客多是马来西亚人,所以不需要。当然,搭快车的人不能创造经济效益。
  •  
  • ·      因为新加坡地皮很贵,不值得投资。
  •  
  • ·      因为,我们在等待地铁延伸到新山之后,就不需要快车站了。甚至快车将来都不用开来新加坡了。
  •  
  • ·      因为我们不鼓励快车到来,这些车多是马来西亚的公司经营,安全方面有问题,不容易控制。
  •  
  • ·      因为快车站有利马来西亚的经营者,对我们的好处不多。

当然还有很多“因为”,行动党政府没有说,我们也不知道真正的原因。

赌场豪华舒适快车站的反思?

新加坡那里可以找到美丽豪华的长途快车站呢?你只要到赌场去,就可以看到了。这告诉人民什么,传达什么信息,灌输什么价值?

你肯花钱,我就为你服务。赌场是私人经营,为了满足客人的需要,舒适的环境是必须的。不然,客人怎么会上门?

总理昨天说,我们有远见,兴建赌场,制造就业机会,强化经济发展。因此,兴建赌场是对的,而赌场兴建舒适的长途快车站也是对的,那么,为何兴建一个利民益民的公共长途快车站,却好像就是不对呢?

这个价值观念代表了什么?行动党是否是站错了边。放着人民的大众利益(甚至安全)不顾,把眼光只放在经济利益上,那就不能怪榜鹅东选民给予决定性的一击了。

廉价机场建了又拆的反思?

相对赌场快车站,廉价机场的兴建似乎对人民有利,对喜欢搭廉价航空的人有利。当然,这也考虑到其他国家在廉价航空市场的竞争,所以才不得不兴建廉价机场。

无论如何,新加坡还是兴建了廉价机场,现在为了将来的需求,又把它拆了,兴建第四机场。

为何长途快车站不能如此呢?如果我们的目的是要等待地铁通到新山,因此就不兴建快车站,那么,为何不能也有兴建廉价机场的思维?总理的眼光有没有看到地铁几时才会延伸到新山呢?

既然没有,早一天兴建快车站,就早一天利民便民。如果在80年代兴建,现在很可能已经回本了。即使在90年代,甚至2000年兴建,也可能回本了。

即使是今天,政府决定兴建长途快车站,花一个亿兴建,这个便民利民的设施,就只有为行动党政府加分,而不会减分。那么,明知可为但是为何又不为呢?

不知道,总理都没有这个眼光了,我们没有研究团队,当然,更加不可能提出一个更好的替代方案。

问题是选民可不是这么想,总理有没有眼光看到民生问题,他们不管。但是,对手中握有一票的选民来说,他们就是看到没有兴建长途快车站的不便不利,单单这样一个不利不便,选票就去了工人党了。

行动党的问题,那里只是一个长途快车站,还有很多。总理对无法预知的事情都没有20/20的眼力,这是可以理解的。

但是,诸如快车站,组屋租赁给低收入低家庭,医药问题,养老问题,这些都可以预见,为何好像没有看见呢?

不要怪选民,只能怪自己连基本的民生问题,价值问题都没法看清楚?

Whither Singapore 新加坡何去何从?杨荣文在榜鹅东补选结果出来后,在脸书上这么写道。这应该是指行动党何去何从,而不是新加坡何去何从。因为总理连摆在面前的民生问题都看不清楚,更何况那些未知的问题呢?

Sunday, 27 January 2013

The Contrast 2013: The Hard Truth Of Singapore Politics

The Contrast 1792 wikipedia


The Punggol East by-election result reminds us about the systematic practice of the PAP, especially its bad painting of the oppositions in the mainstream media since 1959, has failed. Singaporeans have begun to realize the truth of Singapore politics and will make decisive choice when come to voting their MPs.

“The Contrast 1792 –which is the best”#1 (above) is a clear reflection of what the PAP has been telling Singaporeans over the past years.   We can also redefine “The Contrast 1792” into “The Contrast 2013: the PAP and the Oppositions”. The 2013 contrast has shown a clearer and truer picture, especially when voters in the middle class constituency have more informed news.

With the monopoly control of MSM, the PAP has painted itself a picture like the British Liberty: 
On Left: Britannia with a lion at her feet, holding "Magna Carta" and a pole with a liberty (Phrygian) cap on it (instead of the usual trident), to emphasize British liberty under law. A lion is at her feet, and a ship sails off in the background.
 Inscription: "Religion, Morality, Loyalty, Obedience to the Laws, Independence, Personal Security, Justice, Inheritance, Protection, Property, Industry, National Prosperity, HAPPINESS." #1
And the PAP will then group the oppositions, big or small, left or right, real or not real, all in one picture like the French Liberty:    
On Right: Scrawny ill-clad personification of France with Medusa snakes instead of hair, treading on beheaded corpse with man hanged from lantern-post in background.
 Inscription: "Atheism, Perjury, Rebellion, Treason, Anarchy, Murder, Equality, Madness, Cruelty, Injustice, Treachery, Ingratitude, Idleness, Famine, National & Private Ruin, MISERY" #1
{This is why Low Thia Khiang, SG of WP, decides that WP will walk its own path. Otherwise, WP will also be fixed into the image of “French Liberty”. Low said, "The opposition is a convoluted, complicated thing -- made up of different people, different parties, different leaders, different ways of questioning the government, even." http://sg.news.yahoo.com/why-wp-walks-its-own-path--low-thia-kiang-155714779.html}

Finally, the PAP will ask the readers of MSM to decide on an overall question, "Which is best?"  It is clear that without alternative news like social media, past voters in Singapore were blinded and prevented to have the truth and of course, they would continue to vote for the PAP.

From 1959 to 2011, the PAP and MSM have successful achieved the aim of making the government behaving like the “British Liberty” and the oppositions “French Liberty”.  The ISA political arrests, defamation suits, etc. are used to justify the right to contain the bad behaviour of “French Liberty”.  

However, with the help of social media, GE2011 and PE2011 showed a different Singapore, a hard truth political new normal as some have described. Voters have begun to distinguish the credible oppositions inside the opposition camp of “French Liberty”.  They also discover there are some credible men (e.g. BG, TCB, OTC etc.) inside the PAP camp (“British Liberty”).   

Rebranding PAP via NatCon is not enough

Punggol East voters have clearly shown their rejection of the current brand of the PAP leadership.  The use of National Conversation to rebrand the PAP as a caring party has failed.  Voters are not satisfied with the conversation and other policies change announced during the campaign.

So, how to rebrand the PAP?  Dr Koh’s change within the PAP is certainly not working and is rejected by voters.  

Not only PAP needs a drastic change so do the MSM.  The continued control of MSM will not do good to both the PAP and Singapore and it will contribute little to nation building.

What next WP and other opposition parties

Voters have also confirmed their recoganazation of WP as a credible opposition party in a four-cornered contest.  Voters know the differences inside the “French Liberty” camp. Not everything MSM reported on oppositions is true and real.

Will WP emerge as a main alternative party and finally form alternative government?  It is too early to tell.   Other opposition parties will have to find its niche areas to expand their influences.  Some small political parties in Singapore will have a difficult future and most likely will not appear in voters’ mind after the next GE.

#1

Other references:
http://www02.unibg.it/~medusa/fonti_secondarie/hertz.pdf

Saturday, 26 January 2013

不够爱国亲新加坡 行动党兵败榜鹅东



榜鹅东补选结果出炉了。工人党胜出。这说明了什么?

选民认为行动党已经偏离了创党的目标。总理以为他和他的同僚“一直没有改变目标”。但是,选民却不同意。因此,选举的结果当然不是行动党所要的目标,只好饮恨榜鹅东。过去的爱国亲新加坡的形象,已经褪色了,选民并不认可李显龙出任总理以来,是以人民的利益做出发点的。

总理要站在人民的那一边,但是,选民认为他的诚意不够,没有以人民的利益为出发点,因此,选择了爱国亲新加坡品牌的工人党。可惜啊!人民不要和总理站在一边,而要和工人党站在一边。行动党能否好好的检讨,回到过去的水准,过去的目标,那就而知了。

总理在行动党在补选的最后一场群众大会上说:

《“永远站在人民的那一边,永远以人民利益为出发点”。

“我们的政党,人民行动党,一直没有改变目标,而这个目标就是为人民行动,替你办事,当你的代表、当你的公仆、当你的代理人,让大家希望新加坡实现的梦想都能一一落实。”》

选民不认为也不认同行动党是为人民办事,做人民的公仆,
新加坡人的梦想已经越来越难实现了。行动党已经离开人民越来越远了。因此,选民当然否定许宝琨的说法,不认为他在国会是“有用的、有价值的另一把声音”。行动党失去的不是许宝琨这把声音,而是失去过去辛辛苦苦建立起来的形象和品牌。

为何说行动党不够爱国不够亲新加坡呢!
把国产转化为党产,把国家人民的财物变成行动党的家产,这样做叫爱国吗?Aim爱门事件没有解释清楚,最后需要设立调查委员会,这是爱国吗?这叫有透明度,公开性吗? 
急速的经济增长,引进人口,相关基础设施却跟不上,这叫亲民亲新加坡吗?叫老年人到国外养老,这叫照顾国人,爱护老年人吗? 
低薪新加坡人几十年没有获得实际加薪,而政府高官则在高薪养廉政策下,成为世界上薪金最高的政治人物,这是爱民亲新加坡吗?不爱民怎么爱国? 
前总理李光耀说过,即使感到新加坡会出问题,他在进入坟墓前也要爬出来,协助新加坡。今天的行动党领袖,会说这么爱国的话吗?他们想到的高薪,还有国民服役的白马。不论我们对李光耀有什么看法,说他爱新加坡,基本上大家都会同意。

几十年来,新加坡主流媒体就是一直为行动党树立爱国亲新加坡的神像。但是,这个神像已经越来越少信徒。人们已经发现事实的真相。为何徐顺全脱离破产的筹款活动获得很多人的支持,在很短的时间就能筹到足够的款项,从而获得自由之身,有机会参加下次大选。人民基本上已经看清楚徐顺全不是不爱国不亲新加坡。反而是很可能比行动党更加的爱国亲新加坡。

难道,言辞激烈,说话冲动,就被定义为不爱国不亲新加坡了吗?
过去只要是和政府持不同政治见解的人,都很容易被套上“莫须有”的罪名。1987年被逮捕的人士,邓亮洪的华文沙文主义,萧添寿和徐顺全和外国联系等等。在主流媒体的大事渲染下,生花妙笔下,这些人是什么形象?难道他们还会是一群爱国亲新加坡的人士吗?
爱国亲新加坡这个品牌,行动党想要都没有这个份。总理是多么想要这个品牌,但是,选民却偏偏不给于认同不给于认可。

选民已经开始觉醒了。主流媒体的影响力已经大不如前。当然,行动党的影响力也大不如从前。它离创党的目标渐行渐远,自然地,也越来越变得不爱国不亲新加坡了。当有一天我们的人口到达七百万时,行动党很可能变成网上流行的品牌“外人行动党”了。

我们欢迎外人,但是底线是先要有“爱国亲新加坡”的政策。偏偏行动党没有看清这点,或许根本不要看清。不管有意无意,自认站在人民的一边是没有用的。口说而不没有行动的行动党,最后的下场将是下台一鞠躬。

十五的月亮 Moon landing








Thursday, 24 January 2013



Summary of Punggol East by-election blog posts:







榜鹅东补选博文一览:








Can a last-minute press conference save a falling PAP? State of the PAP: Losing Brand Losing Ground


If politics in Singapore is like the business world, the PAP is in the declining state, losing goodwill, losing ground and losing market share.

Omy.sg reported that the PAP would call a last-minute press conference at 11 pm just before the start of the cooling off day of Punggol East by-election.  And apparently, it has coincided with the WP press conference at 7 pm the same day.  The PAP - a falling brand, despite having a rally from 7 to 10 pm, still finds time not enough. So, will a last-minute press conference save the PAP and help it to retain Punggol East?  

The PAP’s market share, in term of percentage of votes, is declining.  In GE2011 it dropped to 60%.  If you considered PE2011 as another indicator, then it was even lower, down to 35%.  Can you imagine in 1968 GE, the PAP got 88% of the votes? Hence, its image and its goodwill in the eyes of many Singaporeans, especially netizens, are no more a trusted and reliable brand.

Punggol East voters when you go to the polling centres on 26 Jan, you have to remind yourself that the PAP is not an “in” thing. It has credible problem. It has lost its brand value and market share.  And most importantly, it is no more a people’s action party.  It is a party driven by money.  It is no more pro-Singapore and loves Singapore as before.

Still remember Lee Kuan Yew’s famous speech: 
“Even from my sick bed, even if you are going to lower me into the grave and I feel something is going wrong, I will get up.” 1988 National Day Rally, when he discussed the leadership transition to Goh Chok Tong in 1990. As quoted in The Cambridge History of Southeast Asia: Volume 2, The Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries
So, you can judge how much he loves Singapore.  This is a unique example that Lee senior shows his love to Singapore and how pro-Singapore he is.  In later days, Lee senior thinks if Singapore is not stable, calling in army may be an option: (this is another way of expression of love). 
11) “Without the elected president and if there is a result, within two or three years, the army would have to come in and stop it.” - MM Lee Kuan Yew
When comes to Goh Chok Tong’s turn, he still loves Singapore as Lee senior but he cannot provide the Swiss standard of living to Singaporeans as promised. But Goh’s mission is still pro-Singapore and love-Singapore. 
My mission is clear: to ensure that Singapore thrives and grows after Mr. Lee Kuan Yew; to find a new group of men and women to help me carry on where he and his colleagues left off; and to build a nation of character and grace where people can live lives of dignity and fulfillment, and care for one another.
http://www.quotesstar.com/quotes/m/my-mission-is-clear-to-91284.html
However, PM Lee’s opinion about Singaporeans is quite different from the other two former PMs.   
Our citizens put up chilies and onions to prevent the rain from falling.2008 Singapore Grand Prixhttp://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Lee_Hsien_Loong
No wonder our life is getting difficult as we have to put up chilies and onions to stop the rain.  And chilies and onions make ones cry likes rain.

Even their Punggol East candidate, Dr Koh Poh Koon has to admit and acknowledge that it is no more an “in” thing to join the PAP.  What a change of world it is!  He even hesitated to stand for election when PM Lee asked him to represent the PAP at PE BE.

So, the PAP has a branding problem.  Dr Koh has a confidence problem. Of course, this has to do with the quality of its leadership.

For Singaporeans old enough, as Low Thia Khiang (SG WP) said last night, they will notice the change of quality in the PAP.  From Lee senior to Goh to Lee junior, the quality of the PAP leadership has declined.  Not only the quality standard drops, the moral standard drops too. 

Punggol East voters, this is a golden opportunity to use this by-election to slap the PAP and make them work harder for you. 
“Ladies and gentlemen, we cannot afford to put our lives in the hands of a sleepy driver. Do not put another sleepy driver into Parliament,” he said with gusto, to loud cheers from an estimated 8,000-strong rally crowd, its biggest turn-out of the three rallies. 
“May this by-election provide the ‘Punggol Slap’ which the PAP will never forget!”http://sg.news.yahoo.com/give-pap-a-%E2%80%98punggol-slap%E2%80%99-they-will-never-forget--wp-s-low-thia-khiang-164620901.html

Wednesday, 23 January 2013

树立爱国亲新加坡品牌 工人党走自己的路


新加坡政治将进入新的品牌运动。过去,一党独大的旧品牌人民行动党,将很难霸道本地政治。它是否会进入历史,继续维护它的老产品,老招牌,没人知道。或许,李总理有超群的智慧,能够避免不幸命运。

榜鹅东选民,如果认同工人党这个爱国爱新加坡,不为反对而反对的品牌,126日,就应该投工人党一票,送李丽连进入国会。当然,你也有权选择老品牌,和其他品牌的政党候选人。

在新加坡的在野阵营中,最鲜明的两个品牌就是工人党和民主党。这次,榜鹅东补选,民主党最后退出,就是要避免两强相争,让行动党得利。既然,民主党已经看清了新加坡政治的现实,支持在野阵营的榜鹅东选民,就应该全力支持工人党候选人李丽连。其他两个品牌还未成气候,分散在野票源,将会令行动党高兴,而整个在野阵营将会大失所望。

那么,中间选民应该如何选呢?选民就要考虑和评估老招牌行动党,是否有做到爱人民,以人民的利益为先,在选区内有没有照顾到区内居民的利益。为什么,居委会的数目比咖啡店还要多,比托儿服务还多?在全国范围,有没有做到透明,公开和平等对待人民。这个老招牌值不值得一再的信任下去。

新加坡第一位首席部长(相等总理)马绍尔律师,来自工人党。wikipedia
事实上,工人党也是老政党,只是过去50年来,在一党独大的阴影下,一直不为人知。1955-1956年,新加坡第一位首席部长(相等总理)马绍尔律师,就来自工人党。工人党1950年代风光过后,就没有再出现什么突破了。一直到2011年大选,才取得一个集选区的突破。

现在是工人党,这个和行动党一样在50年活跃的政党开始重新抬头的时候了。卧薪尝胆50多年,这个老政党仍然不倒,选民应该想一想,为什么?这个政党值不值投它一票,它为什么能够重新开始,重新树立新的品牌,而这个品牌值不值的支持?

现在的政治,和过去已经不大一样了。在经济第一,商业味道这么浓厚的气氛下,政治的强大,一定要有一个团队,但是,更加重要的是品牌。2011年大选,为何工人党候选人,即使知名度不高的候选人,也能取得好成绩。这已经证明选民认同工人党这个品牌。为什么出席工人党群众大会的人数这么多,因为大家都爱护这个品牌。

以手机品牌来说,苹果和三星目前是最红的品牌。但是,还是有其他的品牌可以让人们选择。老品牌如诺基亚,黑莓,曾经红极一时,现在却面临困境。行动党会不会是另一个诺基亚呢?那就要看总理的智慧了,行动党的接班人素质如何了?过去靠着政府,工会,行动党的老本顺利当选的日子,就像诺基亚一样,不再回来了。

刘程强昨晚在群众大会的演讲值得我们深思,榜鹅东选民更是不可不思。因为,工人党要走一条自己的路,不要让行动党把所有的在野政党都归为一类,尤其是行动党控制着媒体。在主流媒体的操纵下,很容易把工人党归为和其他新加坡反对党一样。因此,工人党要有自己的形象,自己的品牌。这样才不会被行动党趁机把所有的反对党都捆绑在一起, 一枝竹竿打翻一船人。”

《在行动党一党专政的新加坡政治环境里,其他的政党要能够抬头和成长,是一件非常非常不容易的事情。我在1982年从政,加入工人党,接近30年的今天才看到工人党有一定的起色。我接触过许多支持反对党的人,希望看到新加坡民主有所进展的人,他们常常感到痛心,恨铁不成钢,因为反对党阵营总是出现种种的状况。我理解他们的失望与期待。 反对党其实是一个很复杂的阵营。不同的人,不同的领导,不同的问政方式。1991年可算是现代新加坡民主进程最令人鼓舞的时代,当时国会里有4位反对党议员,新加坡民主党是最强的政党。可是,后来,民主党闹分裂。在1997年的大选,行动党就趁机把所有的反对党都捆绑在一起, 一枝竹竿打翻一船人,大选结果是4个反对党议员只剩下2个,之后反对党士气一落千丈。 1997年大选以后,工人党就决定走自己的路。后来好些反对党成立了新加坡民主联盟,工人党也决定不加入。 新加坡是个民主国家,任何人都能创立政党参加竞选。每个政党都有不同的方向和理想,即使都对政策有意见,也不一定有同样的想法和做法。 此外,对于怎样的反对党和政治的模式才对新加坡最有利,才适合我们的国情也不一定会有一致的意见。所以,以新加坡目前的政治状况,要所有反对党团结成为一股力量是个不可行的概念。 俗话说:道不同,不相为谋。政党和人一样,如果性格不同却勉强在一起,后果会如何呢?不但不会幸福,还会误人误事。所谓的反对党团结,只怕到最后不但不能同步前进,反而落到四分五裂的地步。这样的结果只会让人民再次对反对党失去信心,成为新加坡民主发展的绊脚石。 工人党坚持走自己要走的路,一条备受批评的崎岖路,不是高傲,也不是不尊重其他的参政者;而是为了避免历史重演,避免再次让人民失望,避免再次对,为了建设民主机制,努力无私付出的国人,造成伤害。工人党誓言做个受人尊重,有理性和负责任的政党。我们重视每个选举,选民的信任和支持更时时提醒我们不能辜负选民的委托。》 http://wp.sg/2013/01/22-jan-2013-punggol-east-by-election-speech-by-low-thia-khiang-english/

榜鹅东的选民们,现在是区别政党品牌的时候了。如果你把补选当成一个股票市场,那现在就有两只优质股,在第一级市场供你选择,一只是诺基亚,一只是苹果,还有两只在第二级股市让你选择。你会选择那一只股票呢?

当然是工人党这只有潜力,有上升机会的股票。当然,工人党前面的路也非一帆风顺,就像手机市场一样,其他品牌也会冒出来,跟你争天下。最可怜的是诺基亚,就像行动党那样,市场越做越小,最后,就出现替代政府了。不过,现在,最重要的是支持工人党取得榜鹅东,把市场做大。

刘程强在英语演讲的部分,首先感谢总理这么看得起工人党,这么快就要工人党组成替代政府,成立影子内阁。#2 但是,工人党有自知之明,六个中选议员如何组成一个影子内阁?哪来这么多资源?

说到底,总理是否有尊重在野党议员?如果有,为何把在野议员打散开来,国会里不坐在一起。如果真的有影子内阁,其影子内阁领袖就等同一名部长,那就可以领取部长的薪金,一年上百万元,工人党要筹款买新总部,目标才150万元。因此,还真的要感谢总理,快快认可国会反对党领袖,让工人党可以轻而易举的筹得150万元,早点落实壮大工人党的计划。


#2
I must thank PM Lee for reminding all of us that the Workers’ Party is still not large enough to have the resources to make alternative policies. In the Westminster parliamentary system, an alternative government must be complete with a shadow cabinet and ample resources for policy research to verify and propose alternative policies. Currently, we have a small group of professionals and academics working behind the scenes to help MPs scrutinise government policies. But expecting a party with 6 elected MPs to form an alternative government is premature and unrealistic.
http://wp.sg/2013/01/22-jan-2013-punggol-east-by-election-speech-by-low-thia-khiang-english/

Tuesday, 22 January 2013

Vote for Hougang II Vote for WP Vote for Ah Lian



Dr Koh Poh Koon wants to change the PAP from within. Is he behaving like a Mockingbird within the PAP? Mockingbirds are best known for the habit of some species mimicking the songs of other birds and the sounds of insects and amphibians, often loudly and in rapid succession. #1

Instead of voting for a Mockingbird, Punggol East voters must concentrate their votes on the best wining alternative candidate – WP Lee Li Lian. This will bring the opposition politics in Singapore to a new height. This will bring hope to other opposition parties in future general election. The withdrawal of SDP has indicated the importance of a straight fight with the PAP.  

Hougang II – is this possible?

Before talking about Hougang II, let revisit Hougang I in 1988 and 1991.

Hougang I
Elections
PAP
WP
1988 GE
Tang Guan Seng (59%)
Lim Chiu Liang (41%)
1991 GE BE strategy
Tang Guan Seng (47.2%)
Low Thia Khiang (52.8%)
1988 Margin 3,641 (18%) in favour of the PAP
1991 Margin 1,134 (5.6%) in favour of WP

In the 1988 Hougang election, the PAP had 59% of the votes and enjoyed a comfortable margin of 18%.  However, in 1991, the table turned against the PAP and it had a negative margin of 5.6%.  Of course, the PAP lost Hougang.

Comparing to Punggol East, in 2011 GE, the PAP received 54.5% of the votes. The margin was 13.5%, lower than Hougang I’s 18%.  However, both WP candidates in 1988 and 2011 scored 41% respectively – a coincidence.  This means it is possible to turn the table against the PAP in 2013 and WP Lee Li Lian can win the election with a smaller margin (due to four-corner fight).  

So, we see the Hougang II in the making. The beginning of next lap in a new normal era and a change that is good for Singapore’s future.
 
After his victory was announced at 12.53 am, he said: “This is the beginning of the next lap.
“This is a change which I think is important to the development of society.”
-       Low Thia Khiang’s victory speech in 1991
  
http://wpsn.wordpress.com/page/46/

Hougang II in Punggol East
Elections
PAP
WP
2011 GE
Michael Palmer (54.5%)
Lee Li Lian (41%)
2013 BE
Koh Poh Koon
Lee Li Lian
2011 Margin 4,217 (13.5%)
(Source: singapore-election.com)

Another coincidence is both WP candidates win the election in their second attempt: Low Thia Khiang first stood in 1988 in Tiong Bahru GRC and Lee Li Lian stands again in Punggol East, two years later in 2013.  

Low was 32 when he first stood in Tiong Bahru GRC and Lee at the same age in Punggol East for her first attempt. At this young age, they are energetic.  This is why Li Lain said she wanted to cover all the HDB flats in Punngol East.   

Because of this, the MSM has to show the energetic side of her opponent, PAP Koh Poh Koon:
<His busy campaign schedule means that Dr Koh is not keeping up with his rigorous fitness regimen. He used to run 10km on Sundays and do 30 chin-ups daily before he showered, on the bar he mounted in his toilet.> #2

Mockingbird wants to change from within

No matter what changes he wants to make, Koh still wants to keep his mockingbird nature, echoing the same messages ‘often loudly and in rapid succession’: 
<To him, however, the PAP government is a good one that has already set in motion policy changes since the watershed 2011 polls.
 "If the Government is already in the midst of change and it is moving in a direction that I think is the right direction, then it's better to be involved in the process of change from within," he said one Saturday night after a long day of campaigning.> #2
He only wants to be involved in the process of change NOT outside but INSIDE the PAP. Is “in the process of change” a change? Then, I am in the process to be a millionaire, am I a millionaire?

What is he echoing about?

* Paternity leave the right step: PAP's Koh

People's Action Party candidate for Punggol East, Dr Koh Poh Koon, said paid paternity leave is a step in the right direction, referring to one of the slew of measures announced by the government to encourage Singaporeans to start families.

* When the government announced 2 new MRT lines, he welcomed it.
* You may add more ....... 

#1

#2
http://www.straitstimes.com/the-big-story/punggol-east-election/story/aiming-be-part-change-within-20130122

Monday, 21 January 2013

榜鹅东 不要再有“后知后觉”的遗憾


2011年,榜鹅东选民给工人党李丽连41%的肯定。2013年,再给她一个突破,让她成功进入国会。只有这样才不会出现前海峡时报总编辑韩福光“后知后觉”的遗憾。

何谓“后知后觉”?海峡时报前总编辑韩福光最近到访台湾,回来后发表了一篇名为:“The dirty truth about Singapore”《新加坡不光彩的事实》的观察文章。文章发表后,深获好评,本地读者认为他说出真相。

令人震惊的是,贵为新加坡媒体第一人,行动党政府的第一号喉舌,海峡总编辑,竟然不知道台湾发生了什么事。这几十年来,台湾在民主,民生和人文素质的提升,他是无知,还是有口难言。作为一个国际金融中心,新加坡第一号总编辑不知道大中华地区的台湾的真实情形,而脑子里一直充满台湾负面新闻,我们新加坡真的国际化了吗?还是,这背后有意的隐瞒事实真相?

幸好,他后知后觉,回来新加坡后,在比较了台北和新加坡后,说出真心话来。但是,这种后知后觉却迟了几十年。因此,我们有必要小心细读新加坡主流媒体,它们不只没有真实的反映国内的情形,连国外的情形也同样没有正确反映,而是选择性报道。 
韩福光在1231日新加坡《海峡时报》上撰文《新加坡不光彩的事实》,二次以这里(台北)不是东京提醒读者台湾人在公德心上的进步。他以台北没人乱丢垃圾等现象为例,反思新加坡很多不良社会行为#1
榜鹅东选民,以及全国选民有必要了解韩福光“后知后觉”的警惕,不要再像韩福光那样,等了几十年才来发现,说出事实的真相,再来遗憾。遗憾一次就够了,事实是新加坡人已经遗憾了几十年了。每次大选都遗憾,2011才有小突破,将来不可再遗憾下去了。

为何说几十年的遗憾,几十年的“后知后觉”呢? 
韩德光向在台湾工作的同事问到,为何台湾人这么有公德心?同事回答说,原因很多,特别是1987年解严后,政治与社会觉醒,更多人参与到与台湾有关的公众事务中,从而让大家有了更强的“本体意识”。 #1
1987年就开始的改变,韩福光2012年底才“后知后觉”,这几十年来,新加坡的主流媒体到底在扮演什么角色?榜鹅东有这么多年轻选民,主流媒体是否能够一再让选民遗憾下去呢?

韩福光的可爱之处,倒是自我承认对台湾了解不深。但是,他并不是没有阅读台湾的新闻,他了解的台湾是从报纸和电视上来的。他说,这些报道都是负面新闻。#2 韩福光并不是没有跟进台湾的情形,而是白读书,白看报纸。他怎么看到的都是负面新闻,一点好新闻,一点人情味都没有。

这就像行动党的所谓优秀人才,奖学金得主一样,会读书不会了解民情。读书第一,考到甲级文凭,但是他们很多都和韩福光一样白读书,白看报纸。只看到人家的负面,没有看到人家的正面。因此,他后知后觉,他遗憾,他认为新加坡人的公德心出问题。

2011年的肯定为2013年的突破,投工人党一票

榜鹅东选民,这次补选,千万要记得,你们不是选人才,不是选读书第一,你们要选一个为民服务的国会议员。同时,不要再让行动党政府和主流媒体让你遗憾下去。后知后觉不是潮流,尤其是遗憾了这么多年,遗憾了这么多次,现在,是时候,不再遗憾了。

看看韩福光怎么说: 
他提到,台湾在政治上常有一些不光彩的事,经济发展迟缓也有一段时间了,但“他们在社会态度举止方面,似乎踏出了一大步”。#1
新加坡已经是世界上最富有的国家之一,我们的社会行为却犹如第三世界国家,这样的生活是新加坡人民所要追求的吗?韩福光对台湾政治和经济的看法有所保留,但是他对台湾社会的一大进步却给予高度认可。

韩福光的短视是,如果没有政治经济作为前提的改变,台湾社会能够自我改变吗?同样的,新加坡社会的改变,很大的力量还是要依靠政治上的改变。一党独大了这么久,韩福光无法看清发展,选民们可要看清楚,不然,就会像韩福光那样后知后觉,遗憾下去。政治上的改变,就只有依靠在野党的强大,先在国会制衡行动党,然后时机成熟取而代之。

榜鹅东选民,阿裕尼,后港选民已经站出来了。现在,就等你们也一起站出来,跟行动党说不。


#1
http://www.chinataiwan.org/twzlk/gejiakantaiwan/201301/t20130104_3510153.htm

#2
<Truth is I didn't know very much about Taiwan, not having visited for more than 20 years - I was last there on a brief news assignment.  >
<Much of what I knew came from reading the papers and watching the news on television, and it was mostly negative - the unruly politics, fist fights in Parliament, and headline-grabbing melodramatic elections (remember the mysterious shooting of then President Chen Shui-bian a day before the 2004 presidential election?). >