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尚达曼的动机? 为党、为己、为国?

 尚达曼的动机?

为党为己为国


尚达曼作为前行动党人,为了党的利益出来竞选总统,合情合理。之前的两位不具副总理资格的民选总统,民意不甚理想,甚至让人大失所望。即使王鼎昌和陈庆炎也给人两级观感。


当然,也可能是一种阴谋论。王鼎昌和陈庆炎两人都知道,无缘总理宝座。民选总统是‘唯一更上一层楼’的选择。或许,尚达曼也有同样的想法。甚至,也可以这么说,这个选择就是断了总理梦。新加坡人也不再需要做同样的尚达曼总理梦。


退了党,不再是政治人物,如何又回到政治舞台?即使不中选,也不可能回去再度领导新加坡。即使新加坡面对各种各样的风险、危机。再加上第三代的舞台已经没有了,第四代也不会提供这个舞台给你。


那么,尚达曼的决定就是为了自己。他的决定已经表明,不再进入政治,不再主导国家。事实上,在党内和内阁,尚达曼就是一个异数,他的形象与其他内阁成员不同,属于智慧型男,有自己的一套想法和理念。因此,他受到欢迎,并且成为最受欢迎的总理人选。


聪明反被聪明误。这样的背景,尚达曼很难融入第三代和第四代,只有当政府需要证明有远见智慧人才时,就把尚达曼搬出来。不需要的时候,就外放让他在国际舞台发光。如果你是尚达曼,心理的滋味如何?


为了国家?尚达曼看过前四任民选总统,心理有数。什么可以做,什么不可以。因此,他没有特别强调总统的独立性,当然也不可能监督政府。这对一个智慧型男,是不是一份有意义又有兴趣的工作?而且,一做,就可能是12年,两任,不是一任。因为下一届民选总统属于非华人非马来人的竞选。


尚达曼为党,为己,还是为国,新加坡人各自判断,最重要的是,我们要有选择权, 不要自动当选的闹剧。



Comments

  1. 这篇文章的评论完全是“假议题” -- 一来尚达曼本来就是执政党阁员中的翘楚,和执政党的相当。虽然在名望里的声名甚高 -- 但是,谁当总理,在新加坡的政治制度里,从来就不是人民的选项。也就是说新加坡总理只能是执政党的“家务事” -- 也就是任何政党若是取得执政权力之后的这个政党高层的“决定”。

    所以说尚达曼不愿意做总理是不实的言论 -- 若是执政党从来就没有意愿推荐他 -- 不是不为,是不能也。

    而对于新加坡总统的这一个职位来说,谁都知道,“它”就是一个会移动的“印章”罢了。任何一个执政党都不会喜欢在需要“盖章”的时候竟然发现到驱使不来这枚印章 -- 这就是现实。当年哈莉玛可以藉着少数民族份额的保留而上位,谁都晓得这就是执政党的“奥步”。

    哈莉玛并不是不想连任,而是她早有自知之明,若是参选肯定就是自取其辱。那么,在这个时候,尚达曼的参选,就成为执政党的一石数鸟之计。

    根据新加坡数届选举的选民意向,所有的反对党推出了的人选,支持者只有三分之一。而支持执政党的拥趸,也是三分之一有多 -- 因此,决定“谁”来执政和做总统的,也就是造王者就是三分之一的“中间理智选民”。

    这就是陈清木的选票来源。

    而大选已经很快来临了,陈清木没有动静,反而有参与来届国会议员的意向 -- 可见陈清木还是很清楚的 -- 那就是只要是有三角战,他就没有可能赢得选举。

    因此,若是尚达曼与陈清木两人对垒,那么鹿死谁手犹未可知。而若是三角战,执政党的拥趸就是跑步了的铁票。而而三分之一的反对票可能就会分散到其它的两个候选人。

    至于所谓的理智的中间选民,其中的大部分就会流向执政党,而当然也有少数的给予其它候选人。

    只是这样一来,执政党的“赢面”就很高了。

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