Saturday, 25 July 2015

EBRC objectives: Stop “Out of Aljunied”, Stop SDP Breakthrough and “Negative-Asset” Ministers.


First of all, we have to congratulate the Electoral Boundaries Review Committee for creating more competitions, especially, multi-cornered competitions in the East.


When making changes, EBRC aims to achieve 3 goals:


  1. To prevent “Out of Aljunied” for Workers’ Party.  This is the most important objective.
  2. To prevent Singapore Democratic Party making any breakthrough in the North and Central.  
  3. To look for a solution to retire “negative-asset” ministers or reduce PAP damages.


From the reported claims from different political parties, we will expect multi-cornered contests not only in single constituencies but also in group representative constituencies.


The PAP hopes to have a repeat of 2011 Presidential Election. Then Tony Tan won the Presidency when he got only 35% of the votes, a narrow win.However, a win is still a win. He did in even in the very last minute, after recounts of votes.   


How to achieve multi-cornered contests?


  1. By inserting a single constituency into a GRC.
By moving Joo Chiat and Whampoa into Marine Parade and Jalan Besar GRCs respectively, it will invite competitions from WP and NSP. As SingFirst also expresses interest in Marine Parade, it is possible there is a 4-corner contest there.  


  1. By maintaining a GRC
Tampines and Pasir-Punggol have seen visits by several parties. Tampines may have 4-corner fight as NSP, WP and SingFirst have all showed interest. SDA has declared their interest in Pasir-Punggol GRC so do WP.
Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC is basically no change except adding 3 polling districts. SPP and DDP have made their claims here.  


  1. By re-arranging a GRC
Changes in Tanjong Pagar GRC and the dismantling of Moulmein-Kallang GRC will also invite different claims by different parties. SDP and SingFirst and even Reform Party have expressed in this GRC.  


  1. By creating single constituencies
The re-creation of Fengshan, MacPherson and Bukit Batok single constituencies will certainly invite interest from different parties.


There is no change in all WP-held constituencies.  However, multi-cornered contests are expected outside Aljunied. The PAP can’t do very much in Aljunied.  However, it is important to prevent WP “Out of Aljunied”. EBRC’s review create many opportunities for political competitions near and around Aljunied.  


Another not so obvious motive of EBRC is to prevent the outreach of SDP and to prevent a SDP’s breakthrough in parliament.  This is done through the breaking up a GRC to reduce SDP outreach.  In GE2011, Sembawang and Holland-Bukit Merah GRCs are next to each other. The link is now broken by the creation of  Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC. Can SDP existing resources take on these 3 GRCs plus Tanjong Pagar GRC?


By inserting some polling districts from Nee Soon GRC to Sembawang GRC and withdrawing some from Sembawang to form the new Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC, SDP will need to refocus their efforts here.  With limited resources, can SDP make a breakthrough this time?


SDP is calling for volunteers to increase their outreach.


If we look at the map of Singapore, from Sembawang to Tanjong Pagar, it is in the Centre, dividing the East and the West of Singapore. Could it be the second major battle field after the East?


EBRC likes to play magic all the time.  Some constituencies disappeared in the past but re-emerge this time. Some breaks into four, like Moulmein-Kallang GRC.  The PAP has several “negative-asset” ministers and how can they get rid of them?  They may have to do it before the election and not after the election, like GE2011 when we saw the retirement of Wong Kan Seng, Mah Bow Tan, Goh Chok Tong and even LKY.


Lui Tuck Yew is one of them. With the disappearance of Moulmein-Kallang, Liu can retire earlier. Just look at his reaction and compared it with Dr. Yaacob Ibrahim, one will see the difference. Yaacob welcomes (back) the creation of Jalan Besar GRC.  There are some more “negative-asset” ministers that you can easily figure out. Besides ministers, there are also “negative-asset” MPs, Lee Bee Wah, Tin Pin Ling (not likely to be fielded in MacPherson due to delivery)….Altogether there are about 25% of current PAP MPs will go on retirement.


2 questions to ask


  1. Is the review benefiting Singaporeans or the PAP?
It is an open secret that integer optimization can be used 
for gerrymandering#. By rearranging the polling districts, 
one party can benefit from this optimization exercise.  
While in the USA, both Republicans and Democrats are 
happily engaging in this exercise. They do it openly with 
open voting statistics available online.  

Here in Singapore, only the PAP is doing it. And it is doing 
in it a monopoly way.  How can they claim this is good 
for Singapore?

Here are some background information on gerrymandering.

# Gerrymandering Politics Out of the Redistricting Process: 
Toward a Planning Revolution in Redrawing Local Legislative Boundaries
http://escholarship.org/uc/item/2x00p9zc#page-1

# Evaluation and Optimization of Electoral Systems
https://books.google.com.sg/books?hl=en&lr=&id=A1tNCQg2QKEC&oi=fnd&pg=PR3&dq=integer+optimization+
and+gerrymandering&ots=JwYhhjU5na&sig=_TTEIeGBuyy6oJooxO-2vi7vZwk#v=onepage&q=integer%20optimization%20and%20
gerrymandering&f=false

http://www.illc.uva.nl/COST-IC1205/documents/Caen-2014-Slides/Scozarri.pdf

  1. Can the son solve his father’s unsolved problems in the coming election?
Economy, Population, and Identity are the three key challenges for Singapore.  PM Lee pointed out these challenges for SG100. These are,in fact, the SG50 problems for which his father, the first prime minister of Singapore, found no solutions..

In the coming general election, what can PM Lee offer?  Perhaps, he is offering his new wine in the same old bottle. First, voters must vote in the new wine of fourth generation PAP leaders. And then, Singaporeans should trust their leadership. They then use the same monopoly powers as before to control the press, the population, the economy and the identity.

These are the promises the PAP is offering to Singapore voters. Think twice before you give them your votes.


A well planned review still can’t run away from competition. It is time for change!


EBRC is making use of supercomputer with integer optimization programming to review the boundaries. The new electoral map is yet another masterpiece of distorted democracy in Singapore.


It is to the advantage of the PAP even the PAP tries to downplay it.  But they can’t run away from competitions. The review creates more opportunities for multi-cornered competitions in both single and group representative constituencies.


The PAP wants to create many 4-Tan competitions like the Presidential Election 2011. But the outcome may be like the Punggol East by-election.


Which direction will it go in GE2015?
Is a “Scotland”  in the making in
the East of Singapore?

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/bc/United_Kingdom_general_election,_2015_(Scotland).svg/691px-United_Kingdom_general_election,_2015_(Scotland).svg.png

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  26. Hello Everybody,
    My name is Mrs Sharon Sim. I live in Singapore and i am a happy woman today? and i told my self that any lender that rescue my family from our poor situation, i will refer any person that is looking for loan to him, he gave me happiness to me and my family, i was in need of a loan of S$250,000.00 to start my life all over as i am a single mother with 3 kids I met this honest and GOD fearing man loan lender that help me with a loan of S$250,000.00 SG. Dollar, he is a GOD fearing man, if you are in need of loan and you will pay back the loan please contact him tell him that is Mrs Sharon, that refer you to him. contact Dr Purva Pius,via email:(urgentloan22@gmail.com) Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Hello Everybody,
    My name is Mrs Sharon Sim. I live in Singapore and i am a happy woman today? and i told my self that any lender that rescue my family from our poor situation, i will refer any person that is looking for loan to him, he gave me happiness to me and my family, i was in need of a loan of S$250,000.00 to start my life all over as i am a single mother with 3 kids I met this honest and GOD fearing man loan lender that help me with a loan of S$250,000.00 SG. Dollar, he is a GOD fearing man, if you are in need of loan and you will pay back the loan please contact him tell him that is Mrs Sharon, that refer you to him. contact Dr Purva Pius,via email:{urgentloan22@gmail.com} Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  28. Hello Everybody,
    My name is Mrs Sharon Sim. I live in Singapore and i am a happy woman today? and i told my self that any lender that rescue my family from our poor situation, i will refer any person that is looking for loan to him, he gave me happiness to me and my family, i was in need of a loan of S$250,000.00 to start my life all over as i am a single mother with 3 kids I met this honest and GOD fearing man loan lender that help me with a loan of S$250,000.00 SG. Dollar, he is a GOD fearing man, if you are in need of loan and you will pay back the loan please contact him tell him that is Mrs Sharon, that refer you to him. contact Dr Purva Pius,via email:{urgentloan22@gmail.com} Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  29. I was not sure of getting a legit loan lender online But when i could not face my Debt any more, my son was on hospital bed for surgery that involve huge money and i also needed some money to refinance and get a good home then i have to seeks for Assistance from friends and when there was no hope any more i decide to go online to seek a loan and i find Dr Purva Pius Trust Loan Firm {urgentloan22@gmail.com} with 3% interest Rate and applied immediately with my details as directed. Within seven Days of my application She wired my loan amount with No hidden charges and i could take care of my son medical bills, Renew my rent bill and pay off my debt. I will advice every loan seeker to contact DR PURVA PIUS LOAN Company with {urgentloan22@gmail.com} For easy and safe transaction.

    ReplyDelete
  30. My Brothers and Sister all over the world, I am Mrs Boo Wheat from Canada ; i was in need of loan some month ago. i needed a loan to open my restaurant and bar, when one of my long time business partner introduce me to this good and trustful loan lender DR PURVA PIUS that help me out with a loan, and is interest rate is very low , thank God today. I am now a successful business woman, and I became useful. In the life of others, I now hold a restaurant and bar. And about 30 workers, thank GOD for my life I am leaving well today a happy father with three kids, thanks to you DR PURVA PIUS Now I can take care of my lovely family, i can now pay my bill. I am now the bread winner of my family. If you are look for a trustful and reliable loan leader. You can Email him via,mail (urgentloan22@gmail.com) Please tell him Mrs Boo Wheat from Canada introduce you to him. THANKS

    ReplyDelete
  31. My name is.Mrs.Cynthia Corvin. I live in Ukraine i am a happy woman today? i need to use this time to tell all people how i got my loan from this honest and God fearing man loan lender that help me with a loan of $140,000 please contact him. if you also need a loan without any problem he name is Dr.Olivia Alexander email {Droliviaalexander@gmail.com} tell him that is Mrs.Cynthia Corvin that refer you to he contact

    LOAN APPLICATION FORM [Fill and Return]

    1. Full Names:------
    2. Country:-----------
    3. State:---------------
    4. Contact Address:-------
    5. Loan Amount Needed:------
    6. Duration of the Loan--------
    7. Monthly Income:----------------
    8. Direct Telephone Number:-----------
    Have you applied for loan online before (yes or no)

    EMAIL: {Droliviaalexander@gmail.com}
    Best Regards.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Are you in need of a loan? Do you want to pay off your bills? Do you want to be financially stable? All you have to do is to contact us for more information on how to get started and get the loan you desire. This offer is open to all that will be able to repay back in due time. Note-that repayment time frame is negotiable and at interest rate of 3% just email us (droliviaalexander@gmail.com)

    ReplyDelete
  33. $$$ GENUINE LOAN WITH LOW INTEREST RATE APPLY $$$
    Do you need finance to start up your own business or expand your business, Do you need funds to pay off your debt? We give out loan to interested individuals and company's who are seeking loan with good faith. Are you seriously in need of an urgent loan contact us.Email: (urgentfastloan@gmail.com)

    ReplyDelete
  34. $$$ GENUINE LOAN WITH LOW INTEREST RATE APPLY $$$
    Do you need finance to start up your own business or expand your business, Do you need funds to pay off your debt? We give out loan to interested individuals and company's who are seeking loan with good faith. Are you seriously in need of an urgent loan contact us.Email: (urgentfastloan@gmail.com)

    ReplyDelete
  35. Hello Everybody,
    My name is Mrs Sharon Sim. I live in Singapore and i am a happy woman today? and i told my self that any lender that rescue my family from our poor situation, i will refer any person that is looking for loan to him, he gave me happiness to me and my family, i was in need of a loan of S$250,000.00 to start my life all over as i am a single mother with 3 kids I met this honest and GOD fearing man loan lender that help me with a loan of S$250,000.00 SG. Dollar, he is a GOD fearing man, if you are in need of loan and you will pay back the loan please contact him tell him that is Mrs Sharon, that refer you to him. contact Dr Purva Pius,via email:{urgentloan22@gmail.com} Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  36. How I Got My Loan From A Genuine And Reliable Loan Company

    My name is Mrs.Anna Daniel. I live in Ukraine and i am a happy woman today? and i told my self that any lender that rescue my family from our poor situation, i will refer any person that is looking for loan to him, he gave me happiness to me and my family, i was in need of a loan of $220,000,00 and was scammed by those fraudulent lenders and a friend introduce me to Mr.James Eric, and he lend me the loan without any stress,you can contact him at (urgentfastloan@gmail.com)

    LOAN APPLICATION FORM:

    Full Name:................
    Loan Amount Needed:.
    Purpose of loan:.......
    Loan Duration:..
    Gender:.............
    Marital status:....
    Location:..........
    Home Address:..
    City:............
    Country:......
    Phone:..........
    Mobile / Cell:....
    Occupation:......
    Monthly Income:....
    Website You Heard About Us?......
    Email Him at: (urgentfastloan@gmail.com)

    ReplyDelete
  37. $$$ GENUINE LOAN WITH LOW INTEREST RATE APPLY $$$
    Do you need finance to start up your own business or expand your business, Do you need funds to pay off your debt? We give out loan to interested individuals and company's who are seeking loan with good faith. Are you seriously in need of an urgent loan contact us.Email: (urgentfastloan@gmail.com)

    ReplyDelete
  38. Hello Everybody,
    My name is Mrs Sharon Sim. I live in Singapore and i am a happy woman today? and i told my self that any lender that rescue my family from our poor situation, i will refer any person that is looking for loan to him, he gave me happiness to me and my family, i was in need of a loan of S$250,000.00 to start my life all over as i am a single mother with 3 kids I met this honest and GOD fearing man loan lender that help me with a loan of S$250,000.00 SG. Dollar, he is a GOD fearing man, if you are in need of loan and you will pay back the loan please contact him tell him that is Mrs Sharon, that refer you to him. contact Dr Purva Pius,via email:{urgentloan22@gmail.com} Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  39. Hello Everybody,
    My name is Ahmad Asnul Brunei, I contacted Mr Osman Loan Firm for a business loan amount of $250,000, Then i was told about the step of approving my requested loan amount, after taking the risk again because i was so much desperate of setting up a business to my greatest surprise, the loan amount was credited to my bank account within 24 banking hours without any stress of getting my loan. I was surprise because i was first fall a victim of scam! If you are interested of securing any loan amount & you are located in any country, I'll advise you can contact Mr Osman Loan Firm via email osmanloanserves@gmail.com

    LOAN APPLICATION INFORMATION FORM
    First name......
    Middle name.....
    2) Gender:.........
    3) Loan Amount Needed:.........
    4) Loan Duration:.........
    5) Country:.........
    6) Home Address:.........
    7) Mobile Number:.........
    8) Email address..........
    9) Monthly Income:.....................
    10) Occupation:...........................
    11)Which site did you here about us.....................
    Thanks and Best Regards.
    Derek Email osmanloanserves@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete
  40. Hello Everybody,
    My name is Ahmad Asnul Brunei, I contacted Mr Osman Loan Firm for a business loan amount of $250,000, Then i was told about the step of approving my requested loan amount, after taking the risk again because i was so much desperate of setting up a business to my greatest surprise, the loan amount was credited to my bank account within 24 banking hours without any stress of getting my loan. I was surprise because i was first fall a victim of scam! If you are interested of securing any loan amount & you are located in any country, I'll advise you can contact Mr Osman Loan Firm via email osmanloanserves@gmail.com

    LOAN APPLICATION INFORMATION FORM
    First name......
    Middle name.....
    2) Gender:.........
    3) Loan Amount Needed:.........
    4) Loan Duration:.........
    5) Country:.........
    6) Home Address:.........
    7) Mobile Number:.........
    8) Email address..........
    9) Monthly Income:.....................
    10) Occupation:...........................
    11)Which site did you here about us.....................
    Thanks and Best Regards.
    Derek Email osmanloanserves@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete