25%选民决定大选胜败， 75%各自归队，心中有数。

25%选民决定大选胜败，

75%各自归队，心中有数。

根据一项民意调查（Blackbox Research)，新加坡选民心中有数，选前已经决定，把选票投给哪一个政党。因此，对于那些一向在大选中得票率处于30%的反对党，必须超强努力，运气特加才可能有所突破。

新加坡的现实是选民倾向执政党。所以，几乎没有人预测，PAP会倒台。虽然，26.8%选民还没有决定选谁，但是，这些票不可能都投给反对党，即使大多数倾向反对党，小的反对党还是无法过关，进入国会。

上一回大选，人民行动党利用新冠危机举行大选，以为可以利用危机捞到政治资本。结果，失去多一个集选区。类似的危机感，2025年也有。上一次捞不到好处，不表示这次不成功。因此，像工人党就警告党工、支持者和选民，不可忽视国会出现没有反对党议员的局面。

PAP的问题是小输，还是小赢，不是失去政权的危机。反对党却面对小赢，小输，甚至全盘届输的命运。26.8%的中间选民，以年轻人为主，他们会如何决定新加坡的未来，将来属于他们，由他们做决定，似乎合情合理？

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