Realistic GE2025? 10
30+ new faces
Recycling candidate to Marine Parade
General goes single
PAP’s loss cutting strategy?
The PAP needs more than 30 new faces as they are preparing at least 10 losers in coming GE. Candidates fielding in blue zones have only 50% chances of winning based on the last GE result.
So, you can only count 20+ potential winning candidates and they must field in ‘safe’ areas led by senior ministers. You read about the confirmation of Lee Hsien Loong, Gan Kim Yong and other senior ministers as candidates.
The PAP is adopting a loss cutting strategy. Lawrence Wong said there are no safe seats and expect strong competition. So, the ruling party is hoping to maintain no more losses:
#Ng Chee Meng has a better chance of winning not in Sengkang but in a single seat.
#Recycling a ‘retiring’ candidate to Marine Parade even if he loses will not affect the retirement or renewal plan.
#Replacing an old candidate with a new face will not affect the East Coast plan if the plan fails this time.
#Teo Chee Hean may play the role of second Heng Swee Keat in blue zones to prevent another GRC fall.
#Gerrymandering helps to make all non-blue zones safer with only two or three dangerous areas which are manageable and under control.
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