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不是两党制,而是1.5党制. 行动党在东部依然没有大胜。

 大选的正能量?现象?趋势?(2)

不是两党制,而是1.5党制.

行动党在东部依然没有大胜。


如果行动党在东部,也像其他选区获得压倒性胜利,那就是一党制。可惜,还是幸运,PAP做不到,甚至赢得也不漂亮。总体平均得票,还输工人党一点点。


因此,有人形容,新加坡政治进入1.5党制。工人党只有半个制衡力量,离国会三分之一议席,还有一段距离。而这个半党的制衡力量,似乎也固定下来,想要歼灭,也不容易。其他两个主要反对党,前进党和民主党,在国会零代表,无法在1.5党制中,扮演任何角色。


从选民完全否决一些小党,让他们的候选人失去安柜金,经已证明,这些小党,完全不可能在国会制衡中,有所作为。边缘化的结果,只剩下参与选举,但是,又无法在三角、四角战中,发挥分散选票的功能。


这个现象,发展出来的趋势,就是小党需要整合,或者,自动消失。当然,小党可以继续名义上的生存,但是,在选民心目中,他们已经是可有可无,还不如独立人士。其他两个主要在野党,如果处理不好,善后工作不充足,也很可能步入小党的后尘。。。



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