Skip to main content

未来局势不明朗,不确定;金管局加强监管保险公司。保险回报、收入也会出现波动。

 未来局势不明朗,不确定;金管局加强监管保险公司。保险回报、收入也会出现波动。


新加坡金融管理局,将对四家保险公司加强监管,就像监管银行那样严格监管它们的业务。英文媒体用“大到不能倒”,来形容这四家保险公司。因为,这些保险公司和银行一样,一旦倒闭,会对我国经济、民生造成严重影响。


从这点看,这显示未来的经济走势,将会面对更大的风险,投资回报,收益,也将更加不确定和不明朗。把保险公司也归入严格监管的范围,这似乎说明保险公司也不保险了。为了确保它们一旦面对困难,造成不良影响,金管局不得不出手强加管制。


金融体系不稳定,如雷曼兄弟倒闭,次贷风波,的确把美国和世界最大的保险公司AIG拉下,如果当时美国政府不出手相救,AIG保险公司将面临倒闭,对世界经济造成严重后果。


目前的国际经济、政治,都出现很多变数。我们已经不能利用过去的预算、估算来评论未来的保险回报,保单未必能够确保在售保书中答应过的回报率。我们很多保单都是根据欧美国家的表现,来评估回报。这些国家现在面临高利率,高失业率,甚至汇率不稳定的情形,这肯定会影响保单的回报。


金管局这么做,就是要避免血本无归的局面出现。如果真的出现倒闭问题,也能理出一个退出机制,确保保单的延续问题、善后问题。这个小动作,似乎不需要大惊小怪,但是,认真一想,所有与保险、保单有关的人,不能不重视。甚至,连公积金的退休回报也可能会受到影响。因为,不论储备还是公积金,投资地点也是这些国家和地区。


保险,银行,金融体系都是极为敏感的市场。一有什么风吹草动,发展速度和破坏性极高,或许,金管局已经预测到什么不利发展,而提前做好准备。就像前些时候,我们大量进口黄金一样。到底局势会如何发展,现在还很难看出什么,不过大家应该要有心理准备。未来几年,经济不明朗,局势不稳定将是一个常态,和以前有所不同。



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Sub-standard PAP and the Singapore education system

I make a 'policy shift' when I hear the debate of right politics, constructive politics and sub-standard opposition. My original aim is to discuss about “Su Dongbo, Zhang Juzheng and Singapore education system”. The discussion will end with a sub-standard PAP, in particular from the assessment of the quality of PAP potential candidates. Another policy shift is to discuss it like a play, a drama and make it more entertainment rather than a sub-standard political discussion. Act 1 Gangster’s demand Imagine a sense in the Hong Kong's gangster movie (or a godfather movie), the gangsters' master is shouting at his poor opponent and demand him to give a price for his wrong act. The poor guy without any resources can only offer his body or his service to work for the master. Back in his own chamber, the master is still not satisfied and continues to shout 'don't play, play, you think you are hero, you think you are tiger, or superstar or acting

After 60 years, after 3 failed political imaginations, the PAP is deteriorating...

EBRC objectives: Stop “Out of Aljunied”, Stop SDP Breakthrough and “Negative-Asset” Ministers.

First of all, we have to congratulate the Electoral Boundaries Review Committee for creating more competitions, especially, multi-cornered competitions in the East. When making changes, EBRC aims to achieve 3 goals: To prevent “Out of Aljunied” for Workers’ Party.  This is the most important objective. To prevent Singapore Democratic Party making any breakthrough in the North and Central.   To look for a solution to retire “negative-asset” ministers or reduce PAP damages. From the reported claims from different political parties, we will expect multi-cornered contests not only in single constituencies but also in group representative constituencies. The PAP hopes to have a repeat of 2011 Presidential Election. Then Tony Tan won the Presidency when he got only 35% of the votes, a narrow win.However, a win is still a win. He did in even in the very last minute, after recounts of votes.    How to achieve multi-cornered contests? By inserting a single c