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未来局势不明朗,不确定;金管局加强监管保险公司。保险回报、收入也会出现波动。

 未来局势不明朗,不确定;金管局加强监管保险公司。保险回报、收入也会出现波动。


新加坡金融管理局,将对四家保险公司加强监管,就像监管银行那样严格监管它们的业务。英文媒体用“大到不能倒”,来形容这四家保险公司。因为,这些保险公司和银行一样,一旦倒闭,会对我国经济、民生造成严重影响。


从这点看,这显示未来的经济走势,将会面对更大的风险,投资回报,收益,也将更加不确定和不明朗。把保险公司也归入严格监管的范围,这似乎说明保险公司也不保险了。为了确保它们一旦面对困难,造成不良影响,金管局不得不出手强加管制。


金融体系不稳定,如雷曼兄弟倒闭,次贷风波,的确把美国和世界最大的保险公司AIG拉下,如果当时美国政府不出手相救,AIG保险公司将面临倒闭,对世界经济造成严重后果。


目前的国际经济、政治,都出现很多变数。我们已经不能利用过去的预算、估算来评论未来的保险回报,保单未必能够确保在售保书中答应过的回报率。我们很多保单都是根据欧美国家的表现,来评估回报。这些国家现在面临高利率,高失业率,甚至汇率不稳定的情形,这肯定会影响保单的回报。


金管局这么做,就是要避免血本无归的局面出现。如果真的出现倒闭问题,也能理出一个退出机制,确保保单的延续问题、善后问题。这个小动作,似乎不需要大惊小怪,但是,认真一想,所有与保险、保单有关的人,不能不重视。甚至,连公积金的退休回报也可能会受到影响。因为,不论储备还是公积金,投资地点也是这些国家和地区。


保险,银行,金融体系都是极为敏感的市场。一有什么风吹草动,发展速度和破坏性极高,或许,金管局已经预测到什么不利发展,而提前做好准备。就像前些时候,我们大量进口黄金一样。到底局势会如何发展,现在还很难看出什么,不过大家应该要有心理准备。未来几年,经济不明朗,局势不稳定将是一个常态,和以前有所不同。



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