Yes
if you are in the cycle of social media. No if you are on the side of main
stream media. So, what is the chance of Dr Chee Soon Juan getting your votes in
2016?
By
the probability of throwing a coin, it is 50:50. The chance right now is
perhaps below 50% as his constituency groundwork has yet to begin. We have to
assess his new ‘emotion’ in the next few years and re-rate his chances.
Let’s
be very clear that less emotion does not mean less rational. Singapore voters are calculative and they
want to have both economic growth and democracy, just like they want upgrading
with government subsidy plus oppositions in the parliament. When they know they
can’t have both, they will make the best choice for themselves, for example
Aljunied GRC.
Singapore ranks as the most emotionless society in the world, beating out Georgia, Lithuania, and Russia. Singaporeans are unlikely to report feelings of anger, physical pain, or other negative emotions. They’re not laughing a lot, either. “If you measure Singapore by the traditional indicators, they look like one of the best-run countries in the world,” says Jon Clifton, a Gallup partner in Washington. “But if you look at everything that makes life worth living, they’re not doing so well.”http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-11-20/singapore-confronts-an-emotion-deficit
Best company with no
work-life balance
From
the above report, we know Singapore is one of the best-run companies in the
world but it does not mean a work-life balance is provided in this
company. We look at the figure and pay
you based on your performance. You have your compensation and bonus accordingly
but be ready to report to work every time you are needed.
With
this life style, you are motionless even you have high pay and fat bonus. Unfortunately,
if you are not in this class, you become even more emotionless. Going down to the
social ladder, you see more emotionless faces as they have to struggle for a
living.
Emotion or emotionless
Dr Chee?
Same
to Dr Chee, after getting the news of his annulment from bankruptcy, let’s
guess he is emotion or less emotion now.
His past action is considered emotion to some or rational for others.
And what about the future, especially in GE2016, will his participation as an
election candidate lead to a new emotion?
Let
us wish him all the best after Friday, 23 Nov 2012. It is good to see him in parliament and so we
can judge him whether he is ‘too emotion or too rational’.
The Government says Singapore opposition leader Chee Soon Juan's bankruptcy has been annulled after an unprecedented concession by two former prime ministers to whom he owed about $400,000.
A government office statement says ex-prime ministers Lee Kuan Yew and Goh Chok Tong agreed to accept a reduced amount of S$30,000 from Mr Chee, which will free him from bankruptcy proceedings formally on Friday.http://www.todayonline.com/Singapore/EDC121121-0000128/SDP-leader-Chee-Soon-Juans-bankruptcy-annulled
Dr Chee as an MP in
2016?
Based
on the SDP percentage of valid votes of 36.8% in GE2011 and its best
performance result of Holland-Bukit Timah GRC (39.9%), it is really not an easy
task for Dr Chee and SDP. You need a 10.11% swing to win. Is it possible?
And
the SDP team in Holland-Bukit Timah was (as claimed in social media) already
the best of the best from the oppositions in 2011. There is no doubt the
percentage of valid votes of SDP in 2016 will increase from 36.8%, but by how
much?
GE % of valid votes@ By-elections strategySource: www.singapore-elections.com
23.3%
in 2006 for SDP is an unusual low and could be a statistical error due to some unusual
and unfavourable campaigns. Confidentially
saying, in 2016, the SDP percentage of valid votes should increase to more than
40%. But will this enough to make a breakthrough?
The
SDP before 1991 and after 1991 is a totally different party under different
leadership. If history repeats itself
and SDP manages to gain back its glory, then we will see the first SDP MP under
the leadership of Dr Chee in 2016.
A
better organised SDP with more qualify candidates should have a chance in
2016. But Singapore voters are the richest
in the world, the most emotionless in the world, and as reported above “Singaporeans are unlikely to report feelings of anger,
physical pain, or other negative emotions.”
This makes getting their feelings difficult not to mention their
votes. And SDP does not a have National Conversation to talk to the people even
it only reaches to a certain group of people.
Fight to win
We
will see a very different picture from the past for future general elections or
even by-elections. In the past, especially in the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, participation
in elections is like playing a game, full of fun. It is certainly more emotions and many
candidates participated in elections just for the fun. And for the PAP
candidates it was a fun too, competing with each other to see who had the
highest margin!
The
future elections will be less emotions and less funs.
You
stand as candidate is to win the election, not for fun. There is no room for fun
playing candidates unless you want to lose your deposit. Even
the PAP candidates have to fight to win and opposition candidates will have to
choose a party that gives them a higher chance of winning.
Will
all these future emotionless candidates lead to an even less emotion Singapore? I hope not.
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